Stocks Fall On Weak Economic News

Thursday, September 23, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks ended lower and the S&P 500 closed below support (formerly resistance) after weaker than expected economic news in Europe spooked investors. Volume totals were reported lower on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange compared to the prior session which signaled large institutions were not aggressively selling stocks. Decliners trumped advancers by over a 2-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 36 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 41 issues that appeared on the prior session, and down from triple digits on Monday.

Weak Economic Data Drags Stocks Lower:

Overnight, stock futures were lower after European PMI slid to the worst level in 7-months which bodes poorly for the economic recovery.  In the US, weekly jobless claims rose by 12,000 to +465,000 as the total number of people receiving unemployment insurance fell. After the open, existing home sales and leading economic indicators rose which helped stocks briefly turn positive before a late-day sell-off sent stocks lower into the close.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks, while many pundits are expecting that markets may consolidate following recent gains. Since the major averages negatively reversed (opened higher and closed lower) on Tuesday (after the Fed meeting) stocks have steadily declined and have now closed below support (formerly resistance) which corresponds with their summer highs. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

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    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and important upward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged our clients and readers to be extremely cautious as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off.
    For those of you that are interested, the S&P 500 hit a new 2011 high on May 2, 2011. Two days later, on Wednesday, May 4, 2011, we turned cautious and said “The Rally Was Under Pressure” (read here). Then on Monday, 5.23.11, we changed our outlook to “Market In A Correction” (read here). On Monday June 6, 2011 we pointed out that the S&P 500 violated its 9-month upward trendline (read here) and reiterated our cautious stance. We have received a lot of “thank you” emails for being “spot on” in our cautious approach. We are humbled by your presence and very thankful for your continued support. Looking forward, the next level of resistance for the major averages is their respective 50 DMA lines then their 2011 highs. The next level of support is their longer term 200 DMA lines. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
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