Stocks Fall On Weak Economic News

Thursday, September 23, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks ended lower and the S&P 500 closed below support (formerly resistance) after weaker than expected economic news in Europe spooked investors. Volume totals were reported lower on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange compared to the prior session which signaled large institutions were not aggressively selling stocks. Decliners trumped advancers by over a 2-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs easily outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 36 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, lower than the 41 issues that appeared on the prior session, and down from triple digits on Monday.

Weak Economic Data Drags Stocks Lower:

Overnight, stock futures were lower after European PMI slid to the worst level in 7-months which bodes poorly for the economic recovery.  In the US, weekly jobless claims rose by 12,000 to +465,000 as the total number of people receiving unemployment insurance fell. After the open, existing home sales and leading economic indicators rose which helped stocks briefly turn positive before a late-day sell-off sent stocks lower into the close.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

The action since this rally was confirmed on the September 1, 2010 follow-through day (FTD) has been strong. Looking forward, the window is open for disciplined investors to carefully buy high-ranked stocks, while many pundits are expecting that markets may consolidate following recent gains. Since the major averages negatively reversed (opened higher and closed lower) on Tuesday (after the Fed meeting) stocks have steadily declined and have now closed below support (formerly resistance) which corresponds with their summer highs. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages is their respective 200-day moving average (DMA) lines while the next level of resistance is their respective April highs. Trade accordingly.

Similar Posts

  • Day 1 Of A New Rally Attempt

    Looking at the market, Monday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt which means that as long as Monday’s lows are not breached, the earliest a possible follow-through day could emerge will be this Thursday. However, if Monday’s lows are taken out, then the day count will be reset and the chances for a steeper correction increase markedly. It is also important to see how the major averages react to their respective 50 DMA lines. Until they all close above that important level then there will be a lot of technical damage on the chart. So far, the market’s reaction has been tepid at best to the latest round of economic and earnings data. Remember that the recent series of distribution days coupled with the deleterious action in the major averages suggests large institutions are aggressively selling stocks. Disciplined investors will now wait for a new follow-through day to be produced before resuming any buying efforts. Until then, patience is key.

  • Upward Trendline Under Attack!

    Market Outlook- Market In A Correction
    From our point of view, the market is back in a correction now that all the major averages closed below their respective 50 DMA lines and downward trendlines. Since the beginning of May, we have urged caution as the major averages and a host of commodities began selling off. The next level of resistance is their respective 2011 highs. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Stock Market Research?
    Global Macro Research?
    Want To Follow Trends?
    Learn How We Can Help You!

  • Another Volatile Week On Wall Street

    The benchmark S&P 500 Index marked Day 13 of its current rally attempt while narrowly avoiding undercutting its 5/25/10 low thus far but failed to score a proper FTD due to the light volume that accompanied Thursday’s strong move. The Dow Jones Industrial Average marked Day 4 of its latest rally attempt while the Nasdaq composite marked day 2. It is well known that a market should not be considered “healthy” unless it trades above its rising 200-day moving average (DMA) line. The fact that all the major averages are below both their 50 & 200 DMA lines bodes poorly for the near term. That said, the bears will likely remain in control until the popular averages close above their important moving averages. Remember, we have seen these very strong light volume rallies in the past only to fail a few days later. Trade accordingly.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *