Selling Continues On Wall St- 200 DMA Line Smacked

Tuesday, August 2, 2011
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks were smacked on Tuesday after the Senate finally passed the debt bill. It was disconcerting to see all the major averages slice and close below their respective 50 & 200 DMA lines which suggests the bears are getting stronger. The technical action is ominous which bodes poorly for the near term outlook. Looking forward, the next level of support are the 2011 lows and the next level of resistance are the 2011 highs.

Senate Passes Debt Bill, Same Store Sales, & Personal Spending/Income Miss Estimates:

Stocks opened lower on Tuesday as investors across the globe were concerned that the global economic recovery may be in jeopardy. The International Council of Shopping Centers said its weekly measure of same store sales at major retail chains slid -0.3% on a weekly basis but rose +4% vs. the same period last year. Both measures fell short of the Street’s estimate for a gain of +0.3% and +4.2%, respectively. The Commerce Department said both spending and income were soft in June. Spending contracted -0.2% which missed estimates for a +0.1% gain. It was also the largest drop in spending since September 2009. The report also showed that personal income rose +0.1% which also missed estimates for a gain of +0.2%.

Market Outlook- Market In A Correction

The latest action in the major averages suggests the market is back in a correction as all the major averages are flirting with their respective 200 DMA lines. Our longstanding clients/readers know, we like to filter out the noise and focus on what matters most: market action. That said, the recent action suggests caution is paramount at this stage until all the major averages rally back towards their respective 2011 highs. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
 

Stock Market Research?

Global Macro Research?

Learn How To Follow Trends?

Similar Posts

  • Week In Review: Stocks On The Verge Of A Major Breakout

    The Bulls Are Getting Stronger 05.23.14 The bulls emerged victorious on Wall Street as they not only quelled the bearish pressure but also set the bullish stage for a very strong breakout. At its deepest this year, the S&P 500 only fell -6% below its record high which is impressive. In fact, we have not had a 10%…

  • Week-In-Review: Central Banks Send Stocks Soaring…Again

    Central Banks Send Stocks Soaring…Once Again The melt-up continues as the market simply refuses to fall or even pullback and that strength needs to be respected. We know way too many people who are trying to fight this very strong bull market – to no avail. Last week, we wrote about the fact that the…

  • Stocks End Mixed As Investors Digest A Slew of Earnings

    It is important to note that the major averages have been steadily rallying since early February and a pullback of some sort should be expected. The prior commentary’s observation, “Since the March 1, 2010 follow-though-day (FTD) a handful of distribution days has not been the least bit damaging to the market’s confirmed rally” – was immediately followed with the 6th distribution day for the S&P 500 Index, a sign of mounting pressure on this 8-week rally. Trade accordingly.

  • Stocks Rally As Dollar Falls

    Market Action- Market In Confirmed Rally; Week 22
    It was encouraging to see the bulls show up in November and defend the major averages’ respective 50 DMA lines. The market remains in a confirmed rally until those levels are breached. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes continue to lead evidenced by their shallow correction and strong recovery. However, it is important to note that stocks are a bit extended here and a pullback of some sort (back to the 50 DMA lines) would do wonders to restore the health of this bull market. If you are looking for specific high ranked ideas, please contact us for more information.

  • Slower Economic Growth Ahead?

    Thursday, May 19, 2011
    Stock Market Commentary:
    Stocks and a host of commodities ended mixed after the latest economic data missed estimates. So far, the old adage, “Sell in May and Go Away,” appears to be working brilliantly. From our vantage point, the market rally remains under pressure due to the lackluster action in the major averages and several leading stocks.
    Lousy Economic Data Weighs On Stocks:
    Investors digested a slew of economic data on Thursday. On the plus side, the Labor Department said weekly jobless claims fell by -29,000 to 409,000 last week but the four-week average is still above 400,000. On the downside, existing homes sales missed estimates at a 5.05 million annual unit rate, down -0.8% in April and tanked -12.9% vs. the same period in 2010. Leading economic indicators fell -0.3% in April following a 0.7% jump in March. The report also missed the Street’s estimates. In other news, the Philly Fed Survey also missed estimates which suggests sluggish economic growth may be on the horizon.
    Market Outlook- Rally Under Pressure
    From our point of view, the market rally is under serious pressure which suggests caution is paramount at this juncture. Looking forward, the next level of support for the major averages are their respective 50 DMA lines and resistance is their 2011 highs. The rally remains in tact as long as support holds on a closing basis. If you are looking for specific help navigating this market, please contact us for more information.
    Want Better Results?
    You Need Better Ideas!
    We Know Markets!
    Learn How We Can Help You!