Where's The Volume?

Wednesday, December 1, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:
The Nasdaq composite and the small-cap Russell 2000 index both soared but failed to produce a proper follow-through day (FTD) because volume was lighter than the prior session. Therefore the market is still in a correction until a new proper FTD emerges.
Euro Woes Ease, Chinese Mfg Jumps, & US Economic Data Is Strong:
Overnight, Jean Claude Trichet, head of the European Central Bank (ECB), said the central bank was ready to step in and buy distressed assets to help curb EU contagion woes. This helped ease concern that the ominous debt woes will spread and that the euro will breakup. The euro rallied on the news which sent stock markets around the world higher. In other news, China said that mfg jumped to a 7-month high which bodes well for the global economic recovery. Before Wednesday’s open, ADP, the country’s large private payrolls company, said private jobs vaulted +93,000 last month which easily topped estimates and September’s reading was revised higher. Elsewhere, the US ISM mfg index rose for the 16th consecutive month and was little changed at 56.6.
Market Action- Correction Enters Week 3
It is encouraging to see the bulls show up this week and defend the 50 DMA lines for the major averages. Wednesday marked Day 1 of a new rally attempt for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the benchmark S&P 500 which means the earliest a possible FTD could emerge for those indices is Monday. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite and small-cap Russell 2000 indexes marked Day 10 of their respective rally attempts which means the window remains open for either of those two indices to score a proper FTD. Trade accordingly.

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Investors in China were treading cautiously as the latest manufacturing data indicated the economy is growing solidly, heightening concerns about further tightening measures from Beijing to cool rising inflation.
China’s Purchasing Managers Index rose to 55.2 in November from 54.7 in October, according to data released by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, marking the 21st consecutive expansion in manufacturing activity.
The strong result was reinforced by the HSBC China PMI, a gauge of nationwide manufacturing activity, which rose to 55.3 in November from 54.8 in October.
“This provides further evidence that price pressures are uncomfortably strong and will reinforce the case for further—and more urgent—policy normalization to get inflation under control,” Royal Bank of Canada economist Brian Jackson wrote in a note.
Beijing has delivered a series of tightening measures as consumer price inflation hit a two-year high of 4.4% in October. The central bank raised interest rates for the first time in almost three years in October and increased the reserve requirement ratio for banks twice in November

New Rally Confirmed!

Wednesday, September 1, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

Stocks soared on Wednesday, produced a proper follow-through day (FTD), and confirmed their latest rally attempt (which began on Friday) after fear eased that the global economic recovery was in peril. Wednesday’s reported volume totals were higher on the NYSE and the Nasdaq exchange compared to Tuesday’s already high levels which suggests large institutions were aggressively buying stocks. Advancers led decliners by over a 4-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by over a 5-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE but were about even on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 48 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, sharply higher than the 16 issues that appeared on the prior session.

Strong Manufacturing Data From China & US Send Stocks Soaring!

Stocks surged as the US dollar and treasuries plunged after manufacturing in the US and China grew faster than economists expected. The stronger than expected manufacturing data from China and the US helped allay woes of a global economic slowdown and sent stocks soaring! Apple (AAPL) jumped on heavy turnover after Steve Jobs introduced updated versions of their iPod media players and iTunes software. The new versions are designed to be more social-media friendly and allow users to see what their friends are downloading, share, and “follow” other users.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

Looking forward, the window is now open for disciplined investors to begin carefully buying high-ranked stocks again. It was encouraging to see a flurry of high ranked stocks trigger fresh technical buy signals and break out of sound bases on Wednesday. However, the major indices’ 50-day moving average (DMA) lines currently serve as near term resistance with their 200 DMA lines as the next important level to watch.
It is of the utmost importance to remain very selective because all of the major averages are still trading below their downward sloping 50 and 200 DMA lines and their 50 DMA lines remain below their longer term 200 DMA lines. This ominous pattern is known as a death cross and typically has bearish ramifications. It is also important to note that approximately 75% of FTDs lead to new sustained rallies, while 25% fail. In addition, every major rally in market history has begun with a FTD, but not every FTD leads to a new rally. Trade accordingly.
The Market Is In A Correction, Does Your Broker Know?
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Stocks Score A FTD, New Rally Confirmed!

Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Stock Market Commentary:

The current rally was confirmed after all the major averages scored a proper follow-through day (FTD) on Tuesday. Volume totals were reported higher on the Nasdaq and the NYSE. Advancers led decliners by a 5-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and nearly a 4-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq exchange. There were 37 high-ranked companies from the CANSLIM.net Leaders List that made a new 52-week high and appeared on the CANSLIM.net BreakOuts Page, higher than the 31 issues that appeared on the prior session.  New 52-week highs outnumbered new 52-week lows on the NYSE and on the Nasdaq exchange.

Stocks Rally As Dollar Falls For 6th Consecutive Day:

The MSCI World Index advanced for a sixth consecutive day as the greenback continued its six day slide after a New York manufacturing report suggested the global economy remains strong. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s general economic index, which measures economic activity in the NY area, rose for an 11th consecutive month which helped offset European Debt woes. The weaker dollar helped a slew of dollar denominated assets (mainly stocks & commodities) rally. Elsewhere, oil jumped above $76 a barrel and the euro rose above $1.23.

Market Action- Confirmed Rally:

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